Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 10.324646 11.906478 13.604535 15.557647 17.736613 20.087271 22.809303
2025-08-17 7.866168 9.927997 12.303018 15.220950 18.687874 22.653330 27.508547
2025-08-24 6.374652 8.633497 11.380664 14.927204 19.340194 24.604116 31.306768
2025-08-31 5.227610 7.538305 10.485807 14.456757 19.594456 25.940186 34.283519
2025-09-07 4.556718 6.941004 10.110335 14.537621 20.455636 27.978105 38.129961
2025-09-14 3.996035 6.408247 9.739862 14.550690 21.173482 29.810080 41.736721
2025-09-21 3.581064 6.022941 9.516091 14.713690 22.059532 31.858148 45.664646
2025-09-28 3.183559 5.610960 9.204215 14.707058 22.680982 33.546035 49.145290
2025-10-05 2.944422 5.411019 9.174551 15.085290 23.837439 35.982422 53.700197
2025-10-12 2.705362 5.181336 9.072968 15.336042 24.804320 38.173205 57.973392
2025-10-19 2.457694 4.907566 8.874392 15.414943 25.506179 39.997727 61.776765
2025-10-26 2.143110 4.481390 8.392918 15.013695 25.454390 40.720102 64.019962
2025-11-02 1.881726 4.121885 7.993103 14.717336 25.549825 41.666851 66.634450
2025-11-09 1.647870 3.783919 7.597910 14.395272 25.577939 42.501530 69.099402
2025-11-16 1.449581 3.488043 7.246657 14.114757 25.644427 43.378989 71.635403
2025-11-23 1.251803 3.166089 6.817447 13.665605 25.404196 43.763254 73.425133
2025-11-30 1.146057 3.020996 6.698336 13.742800 26.022619 45.485714 77.281914
2025-12-07 1.043212 2.868401 6.550495 13.755276 26.526211 47.035825 80.908829
2025-12-14 0.966575 2.764085 6.485873 13.910892 27.273264 48.988879 85.206248
2025-12-21 0.880182 2.625368 6.340238 13.904560 27.735430 50.491814 88.831716
2025-12-28 0.837375 2.585158 6.389951 14.265712 28.849597 53.081419 94.235689
2026-01-04 0.786415 2.518045 6.377687 14.505181 29.754297 55.349312 99.178714
2026-01-11 0.725521 2.417156 6.284947 14.580538 30.364169 57.141853 103.396969